Talkin’
Baseball & Missiles
By Hank
Silverberg
Spring is a
few weeks away. The annual return of the
boys of summer to training camps in Florida and Arizona is a reminder that this
is a new beginning for our national pastime. All 30 teams have a chance to play
in October, though it can be argued that some teams have a much better chance
from day one.
It is of
note that the biggest signing of this year’s free agent crop came after
pre-season games had already begun. Depending on who you asked, it was the
Philadelphia Phillies who were the big winners or losers in the free agent
sweepstakes.
The Phils
have signed superstar Bryce Harper to a $330 million, 13-year contract to play
in their outfield. It keeps him in red
pinstripes until he’s 39. Harper, who is now 26, hails from Las Vegas and the
odds are that he will not play all 13 years, even with a no-trade and no-option
clause in his contract. He will make less money for each season at the back
end, but not much less. Past players
with such long contracts ended up on the disabled list or had career ending
injuries.
(Courtesy of Philadelphia Phillies) |
The Harper contract
is the biggest ever signed by a professional athlete in any professional sport
in the United States. And it comes after infielder Manny Machado signed a $300
million 10-year contract to play third base for the San Diego Padres.
The question
is: Is either player worth it?
Since baseball is a game of statistics and
“analytics” are now the rave, let’s take a closer look at each player.
In seven
years with his former team, the Washington Nationals, the only team he has
played for, Harper had a .279 career batting average (.211 in post season), 184
home runs (a high of 42 in 2015), 521 career RBI’s, 75 stolen bases and 922
hits in 3306 at-bats. Not bad, but not great either.
He is an
above-average defensive outfielder, but not a super one. Then there’s his less than stellar attitude in
the clubhouse and with the media. He complains a lot and got into a fight with
a teammate in the dugout a few years ago.
(Courtesy of SD Padres) |
Machado, who
also has an “attitude” problem (he is lackadaisical at times), has very similar
statistics, including a .282 career batting average, 175 HRs, 513 RBI’s and a
high of 37 HRs in both 2016 and 2018. He is a good infielder, but not great.
So, it will
be said, both are good ballplayers. If you look at previous, big long-term deals,
Alex Rodriguez (Bronx team—I never use the “Y” word) and Albert Pujols
(Angels), the deals didn’t look all that bad at the time. But remember how
A-Rod ended his long contract, with a 50 game PED suspension and then a
mediocre comeback. Pujols, despite some great seasons, wasn’t enough to bring
that World Series back to Anaheim. There is also another long-term contract
question. Do players lose their incentive to play at full speed once they know
their salary is secured for most of their career, as long as they stay healthy?
Phillies
fans are still happy. My friend and former colleague, Mike Jakaitis, is a
genuine Phillies “Phanatic.” He called it a “great signing” but he admits the
Phillies’ season will depend not on Harper, but on starting pitching. He also notes it leaves the team underneath
the league-imposed luxury tax that could help bring perennial All-Star Mike
Trout, to the team next year. Wishful thinking from a loyal fan, especially
since reports surfaced that the Angels may offer Trout a $310 million dollar 10-year contract extension to stay put.
As a Red Sox
fan, I was thrilled last year when J.D. Martinez signed a 5-year $110 million
contract and then played a major role in bringing another World Series
Championship to Boston. But I can note
Pablo Sandoval, who also signed a five-year deal for $95 million, sat out much of
his contract with injuries before the Sox could dump him. It’s been described
as one of the worst deals in baseball history. He didn’t even play well when he
wasn’t injured.
The bottom
line: we pay our sports stars too much. I can’t begrudge the players. They can
get what they can get. But somewhere the line must be drawn on how much they
get paid. That is particularly important if you are a fan of a small market
team like the Baltimore Orioles or Kansas City Royals. The Orioles raised Machado,
but they couldn’t afford to keep him.
Baseball’s
reason for creating the “luxury tax” to bring more parity to acquiring players seems to have
failed when you are talking $330 million dollar contracts.
For Phillies
fans, I hope my Red Sox see you in the World Series, but Bryce Harper’s big fat
contract doesn’t guarantee Philadelphia a league pennant. The team from the
Bronx has proven the big contract practice wrong many times. Chemistry and the right mix of players counts
more than superstars making big money over a long season or even several
seasons.
Oh. Yes, I
did have a headline that included the word “Missiles”.
There was that summit in
Hanoi between North Korean dictator
Kim Jung Un and President Trump last week. They were talking about “denuclearization,” a
big word that means getting rid of nuclear weapons on the Korean peninsula. But the summit was a bust. Trump left early
after walking out of the talks. Those negotiating skills he’s always bragging
about didn’t work. With no set agenda, no negotiating before the meeting
between real diplomats, and an ineffective overall foreign policy over the last
two years, did you really expect an agreement?
(Official White House photo) |
It might have been better to send Harpers and
Machado’s agent, Scott Boros, over to Vietnam. He might have come back with a
really big deal.
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